Round 2031
Round 5 of 20 in simulation 43 of United Kingdom, greedy, 20 years: 5 actions, Trade bloc rupture, and the index +0.085 to 16.64.
Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2031 (the end of 2030) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 16.64 (+0.085)
- In: 16.55
- Rank by index
- 2
- In: 3
- Domains at Tier 1
- 2
- In: 3
- Credits carried
- 319
- In: 227
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 15.73 | 15.58 | −0.146 | 3 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 15.86 | 15.80 | −0.060 | 2 |
| National Security | 16.11 | 16.04 | −0.063 | 3 |
| Human Capital | 18.38 | 18.45 | +0.074 | 1 |
| Information & Influence | 16.75 | 16.82 | +0.072 | 2 |
| Governance & Integrity | 16.29 | 16.22 | −0.062 | 1 → 4 |
| Financial Strength | 17.04 | 17.03 | −0.008 | 2 |
| Production & Innovation | 16.01 | 16.09 | +0.078 | 2 |
| Trade & Investment | 16.84 | 17.72 | +0.882 | 1 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2031: the credits, the greedy method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 953, plus 227 carried in. Maintenance 628. Spent 233 on actions (build 47, partner 186). 319 carried over.
- BuildEconomic Output & Productivity47 credits for 1.97 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Export Capability & Sophistication by 8 per cent
- PartnerExport Capability & Sophistication47 credits for 2.60 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Investment Attraction & Projection by 0 per cent
- PartnerInvestment Attraction & Projection47 credits for 2.39 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Global Value Chain Position by 3 per cent
- PartnerGlobal Value Chain Position47 credits for 2.45 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Alliances & Security Cooperation by 0 per cent
- PartnerAlliances & Security Cooperation47 credits for 2.38 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Trade Facilitation & Logistics by 1 per cent
- Shock: Trade bloc rupture S01. −21.0 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.
Tiers. Governance & Integrity Tier 1 to 4.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Export Capability & Sophistication | +2.29 | +2.58 | 0.00 | −0.26 | −0.03 |
| Global Value Chain Position | +2.25 | +2.48 | 0.00 | −0.26 | +0.03 |
| Economic Output & Productivity | +1.29 | +1.27 | 0.00 | −0.10 | +0.12 |
| Investment Attraction & Projection | +1.09 | +1.19 | 0.00 | −0.13 | +0.02 |
| Alliances & Security Cooperation | +1.07 | +1.19 | 0.00 | −0.11 | −0.02 |
| Economic Leverage & Dependence | +1.06 | +1.31 | 0.00 | −0.26 | +0.01 |