Round 4 · simulation 43 · mcts-m2.m2-gbr-greedy-marginal

Round 2030

Round 4 of 20 in simulation 43 of United Kingdom, greedy, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.153 to 16.55.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2030 (the end of 2029) and as it left it.

Capability index
16.55 (+0.154)
In: 16.40
Rank by index
3
In: 3
Domains at Tier 1
3
In: 2
Credits carried
238
In: 113
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology15.7315.73−0.0073
Strategic Infrastructure15.8715.86−0.0062
National Security16.1116.11−0.0043
Human Capital17.8818.38+0.5031
Information & Influence16.7516.75−0.0062
Governance & Integrity16.2916.29−0.0021
Financial Strength16.9517.04+0.0852
Production & Innovation15.9316.01+0.0792
Trade & Investment16.1016.84+0.7413 → 1

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2030: the credits, the greedy method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 931, plus 113 carried in. Maintenance 598. Spent 206 on actions (build 41, partner 165). 238 carried over.

  • BuildEconomic Output & Productivity41 credits for 1.84 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Export Capability & Sophistication by 3 per cent
  • PartnerExport Capability & Sophistication41 credits for 2.56 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Global Value Chain Position by 3 per cent
  • PartnerGlobal Value Chain Position41 credits for 2.51 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Economic Leverage & Dependence by 2 per cent
  • PartnerEconomic Leverage & Dependence41 credits for 2.62 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance by 2 per cent
  • PartnerFiscal Capacity & Public Finance41 credits for 1.14 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Investment Attraction & Projection by 2 per cent

Tiers. Trade & Investment Tier 3 to 1.

The groups that moved most in 2030, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Trade Policy & Market Access+1.40+1.420.000.00−0.02
Foundational Education+1.29+1.300.000.000.00
Economic Leverage & Dependence+1.29+1.310.000.00−0.02
Global Value Chain Position+1.26+1.250.000.00+0.01
Export Capability & Sophistication+1.25+1.280.000.00−0.03
Lifelong Learning & Reskilling+1.01+2.090.000.000.00