Round 7 · simulation 44 · mcts-m2.m2-gbr-greedy-marginal

Round 2033

Round 7 of 20 in simulation 44 of United Kingdom, greedy, 20 years: 5 actions, Trade bloc rupture, and the index −0.016 to 17.22.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2033 (the end of 2032) and as it left it.

Capability index
17.22 (−0.017)
In: 17.23
Rank by index
2
In: 2
Domains at Tier 1
7
In: 5
Credits carried
431
In: 491
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology16.5116.34−0.1692
Strategic Infrastructure16.1916.25+0.0592 → 1
National Security16.2916.25−0.0392
Human Capital18.7718.92+0.1451
Information & Influence17.1217.26+0.1342 → 1
Governance & Integrity16.6816.72+0.0401
Financial Strength17.7417.62−0.1181
Production & Innovation16.8516.77−0.0841
Trade & Investment18.9418.82−0.1161

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2033: the credits, the greedy method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 997, plus 491 carried in. Maintenance 783. Spent 273 on actions (build 164, partner 109). 431 carried over.

  • PartnerAlliances & Security Cooperation55 credits for 2.41 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Development Cooperation & Global Assistance by 2 per cent
  • BuildDevelopment Cooperation & Global Assistance55 credits for 2.22 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Early Childhood Development by 2 per cent
  • BuildEarly Childhood Development55 credits for 2.02 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Digital & Services Trade by 0 per cent
  • PartnerDigital & Services Trade55 credits for 2.30 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Public Integrity & Anti-Corruption by 1 per cent
  • BuildPublic Integrity & Anti-Corruption55 credits for 2.09 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Political Institutions & Civic Participation by 1 per cent
  • Shock: Trade bloc rupture S01. −16.8 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.

Tiers. Strategic Infrastructure Tier 2 to 1; Information & Influence Tier 2 to 1.

The groups that moved most in 2033, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Early Childhood Development+1.06+1.100.00−0.040.00
Alliances & Security Cooperation+1.03+1.210.00−0.180.00
Communications & Digital Infrastructure+0.90+0.930.00−0.03+0.01
Digital & Services Trade+0.79+1.150.00−0.37+0.01
Development Cooperation & Global Assistance+0.68+0.740.00−0.18+0.12
Economic Output & Productivity+0.48+0.620.00−0.16+0.03