Round 6 · simulation 44 · mcts-m2.m2-gbr-greedy-marginal

Round 2032

Round 6 of 20 in simulation 44 of United Kingdom, greedy, 20 years: 5 actions, AI labour shock, and the index +0.083 to 17.23.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2032 (the end of 2031) and as it left it.

Capability index
17.23 (+0.083)
In: 17.15
Rank by index
2
In: 2
Domains at Tier 1
5
In: 5
Credits carried
516
In: 419
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology16.3116.51+0.1983 → 2
Strategic Infrastructure16.1116.19+0.0842
National Security16.2816.29+0.0032
Human Capital18.6418.77+0.1351
Information & Influence17.2217.12−0.0992
Governance & Integrity16.6516.68+0.0351
Financial Strength17.7417.74−0.0031
Production & Innovation16.7416.85+0.1121
Trade & Investment18.6618.94+0.2781

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2032: the credits, the greedy method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 1,093, plus 419 carried in. Maintenance 736. Spent 260 on actions (build 156, buy 104). 516 carried over.

  • BuildGovernment Effectiveness & Public Administration52 credits for 1.57 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Early Childhood Development by 0 per cent
  • BuildEarly Childhood Development52 credits for 2.31 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Communications & Digital Infrastructure by 3 per cent
  • BuyCommunications & Digital Infrastructure52 credits for 1.86 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Connectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies by 2 per cent
  • BuyConnectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies52 credits for 2.59 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Population Health by 3 per cent
  • BuildPopulation Health52 credits for 2.15 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Public Integrity & Anti-Corruption by 0 per cent
  • Shock: AI labour shock S08. −23.1 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.

Tiers. Critical Technology Tier 3 to 2.

The groups that moved most in 2032, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Connectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies+2.53+2.590.00−0.060.00
Economic Output & Productivity+1.28+1.310.00−0.09+0.06
Investment Attraction & Projection+1.01+1.100.00−0.12+0.03
Trade Facilitation & Logistics+0.98+1.100.00−0.120.00
Communications & Digital Infrastructure+0.94+0.930.00+0.010.00
Early Childhood Development+0.75+0.770.00−0.020.00