Round 2031
Round 5 of 20 in simulation 13 of United Kingdom, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.187 to 17.06.
Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2031 (the end of 2030) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 17.06 (+0.187)
- In: 16.87
- Rank by index
- 2
- In: 2
- Domains at Tier 1
- 5
- In: 4
- Credits carried
- 438
- In: 360
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 16.17 | 16.17 | +0.001 | 3 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 16.03 | 16.05 | +0.014 | 2 |
| National Security | 16.29 | 16.29 | +0.003 | 2 |
| Human Capital | 18.41 | 18.56 | +0.145 | 1 |
| Information & Influence | 17.16 | 17.17 | +0.002 | 2 |
| Governance & Integrity | 16.48 | 16.48 | +0.001 | 1 |
| Financial Strength | 17.56 | 17.59 | +0.024 | 1 |
| Production & Innovation | 16.45 | 16.70 | +0.251 | 1 |
| Trade & Investment | 17.27 | 18.51 | +1.237 | 2 → 1 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2031: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 989, plus 360 carried in. Maintenance 666. Spent 244 on actions (build 49, partner 195). 438 carried over.
- PartnerEconomic Output & Productivity49 credits for 1.66 levelsmctsahead of Economic Output & Productivity by 0 per cent
- PartnerInvestment Attraction & Projection49 credits for 2.27 levelsmcts_fill
- PartnerExport Capability & Sophistication49 credits for 2.23 levelsmcts_fill
- PartnerTrade Facilitation & Logistics49 credits for 2.27 levelsmcts_fill
- BuildEarly Childhood Development49 credits for 2.37 levelsmcts_fill
Tiers. Trade & Investment Tier 2 to 1.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Export Capability & Sophistication | +2.52 | +2.52 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Economic Output & Productivity | +1.66 | +1.53 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.13 |
| Economic Leverage & Dependence | +1.50 | +1.43 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.06 |
| Global Value Chain Position | +1.37 | +1.35 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.02 |
| Investment Attraction & Projection | +1.16 | +1.13 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.03 |
| Trade Facilitation & Logistics | +1.14 | +1.14 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |