Round 2030
Round 4 of 20 in simulation 13 of United Kingdom, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.159 to 16.89.
Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2030 (the end of 2029) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 16.89 (+0.158)
- In: 16.73
- Rank by index
- 2
- In: 2
- Domains at Tier 1
- 4
- In: 3
- Credits carried
- 342
- In: 274
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 16.35 | 16.35 | +0.005 | 3 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 16.03 | 16.03 | 0.000 | 2 |
| National Security | 16.28 | 16.28 | 0.000 | 2 |
| Human Capital | 17.83 | 18.30 | +0.468 | 1 |
| Information & Influence | 17.15 | 17.15 | 0.000 | 2 |
| Governance & Integrity | 16.48 | 16.48 | 0.000 | 1 |
| Financial Strength | 17.36 | 17.45 | +0.097 | 2 |
| Production & Innovation | 16.35 | 16.45 | +0.099 | 1 |
| Trade & Investment | 16.74 | 17.50 | +0.759 | 2 → 1 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2030: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 951, plus 274 carried in. Maintenance 644. Spent 238 on actions (build 95, partner 143). 342 carried over.
- BuildExport Capability & Sophistication48 credits for 2.38 levelsmctsahead of Research Talent & Knowledge Creation by 0 per cent
- BuildEconomic Output & Productivity48 credits for 2.07 levelsmcts_fill
- PartnerGlobal Value Chain Position48 credits for 2.68 levelsmcts_fill
- PartnerFiscal Capacity & Public Finance48 credits for 1.17 levelsmcts_fill
- PartnerEconomic Leverage & Dependence48 credits for 2.83 levelsmcts_fill
Tiers. Trade & Investment Tier 2 to 1.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Economic Leverage & Dependence | +1.42 | +1.42 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Global Value Chain Position | +1.36 | +1.34 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.02 |
| Trade Policy & Market Access | +1.34 | +1.41 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Foundational Education | +1.33 | +1.33 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Lifelong Learning & Reskilling | +1.25 | +1.25 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Export Capability & Sophistication | +1.19 | +1.19 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |