Round 4 · simulation 36 · mcts-m2.m2-gbr-mcts-score-sum

Round 2030

Round 4 of 20 in simulation 36 of United Kingdom, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.154 to 16.90.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2030 (the end of 2029) and as it left it.

Capability index
16.90 (+0.154)
In: 16.74
Rank by index
2
In: 2
Domains at Tier 1
5
In: 4
Credits carried
376
In: 287
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology16.1616.21+0.0503
Strategic Infrastructure16.0316.03+0.0052
National Security16.2816.29+0.0022
Human Capital17.9218.34+0.4171
Information & Influence17.1617.16+0.0072
Governance & Integrity16.4816.48+0.0021
Financial Strength17.5517.56+0.0031
Production & Innovation16.3516.45+0.1001
Trade & Investment16.7417.53+0.7952 → 1

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2030: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 977, plus 287 carried in. Maintenance 647. Spent 241 on actions (build 96, partner 145). 376 carried over.

  • BuildSpace Technologies48 credits for 1.45 levelsmctsahead of Space Technologies by 0 per cent
  • BuildEconomic Output & Productivity48 credits for 2.10 levelsmcts_fill
  • PartnerExport Capability & Sophistication48 credits for 2.81 levelsmcts_fill
  • PartnerGlobal Value Chain Position48 credits for 2.71 levelsmcts_fill
  • PartnerEconomic Leverage & Dependence48 credits for 2.87 levelsmcts_fill

Tiers. Trade & Investment Tier 2 to 1.

The groups that moved most in 2030, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Economic Leverage & Dependence+1.43+1.430.000.000.00
Export Capability & Sophistication+1.40+1.400.000.000.00
Global Value Chain Position+1.39+1.350.000.00+0.03
Trade Policy & Market Access+1.34+1.410.000.000.00
Foundational Education+1.33+1.330.000.000.00
Lifelong Learning & Reskilling+0.83+2.150.000.000.00