Round 6 · simulation 10 · mcts-m2.m2-gbr-mcts-tier1

Round 2032

Round 6 of 20 in simulation 10 of United Kingdom, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.178 to 16.73.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2032 (the end of 2031) and as it left it.

Capability index
16.73 (+0.178)
In: 16.55
Rank by index
2
In: 3
Domains at Tier 1
4
In: 3
Credits carried
520
In: 417
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology16.2516.24−0.0093
Strategic Infrastructure15.3215.31−0.0112
National Security15.8615.91+0.0503
Human Capital18.3118.40+0.0871
Information & Influence16.6416.89+0.2562
Governance & Integrity16.0816.13+0.0421
Financial Strength17.2117.42+0.2072 → 1
Production & Innovation16.2516.47+0.2222
Trade & Investment17.0517.81+0.7621

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2032: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 979, plus 417 carried in. Maintenance 641. Spent 235 on actions (build 94, partner 141). 520 carried over.

  • BuildFiscal Capacity & Public Finance47 credits for 1.06 levelsmctsahead of Force Generation & Mobilisation by 0 per cent
  • PartnerEconomic Leverage & Dependence47 credits for 2.88 levelsmcts_fill
  • PartnerInvestment Attraction & Projection47 credits for 2.43 levelsmcts_fill
  • PartnerTrade Facilitation & Logistics47 credits for 2.54 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuildGovernment Effectiveness & Public Administration47 credits for 1.70 levelsmcts_fill

Tiers. Financial Strength Tier 2 to 1.

The groups that moved most in 2032, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Economic Leverage & Dependence+1.48+1.440.000.00+0.04
Alliances & Security Cooperation+1.46+1.480.000.00−0.01
Economic Output & Productivity+1.45+1.330.000.00+0.12
Global Value Chain Position+1.41+1.380.000.00+0.03
Trade Facilitation & Logistics+1.25+1.270.000.00−0.02
Investment Attraction & Projection+1.25+1.220.000.00+0.03