Round 2031
Round 5 of 20 in simulation 10 of United Kingdom, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.154 to 16.55.
Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2031 (the end of 2030) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 16.55 (+0.154)
- In: 16.40
- Rank by index
- 3
- In: 3
- Domains at Tier 1
- 3
- In: 2
- Credits carried
- 439
- In: 342
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 16.24 | 16.25 | +0.004 | 3 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 15.33 | 15.32 | −0.008 | 2 |
| National Security | 15.76 | 15.86 | +0.104 | 3 |
| Human Capital | 18.19 | 18.31 | +0.117 | 1 |
| Information & Influence | 16.39 | 16.64 | +0.243 | 2 |
| Governance & Integrity | 16.09 | 16.08 | −0.002 | 1 |
| Financial Strength | 17.09 | 17.21 | +0.123 | 2 |
| Production & Innovation | 16.05 | 16.25 | +0.194 | 2 |
| Trade & Investment | 16.44 | 17.05 | +0.606 | 2 → 1 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2031: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 941, plus 342 carried in. Maintenance 610. Spent 234 on actions (build 47, partner 187). 439 carried over.
- PartnerStrategic Strike & Missile Defence47 credits for 1.50 levelsmctsahead of Force Generation & Mobilisation by 0 per cent
- PartnerAlliances & Security Cooperation47 credits for 2.96 levelsmcts_fill
- BuildEconomic Output & Productivity47 credits for 1.97 levelsmcts_fill
- PartnerGlobal Value Chain Position47 credits for 2.76 levelsmcts_fill
- PartnerFiscal Capacity & Public Finance47 credits for 1.28 levelsmcts_fill
Tiers. Trade & Investment Tier 2 to 1.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trade Policy & Market Access | +1.48 | +1.48 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.01 |
| Alliances & Security Cooperation | +1.47 | +1.48 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.01 |
| Global Value Chain Position | +1.39 | +1.38 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.01 |
| Export Capability & Sophistication | +1.38 | +1.39 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.01 |
| Economic Output & Productivity | +1.32 | +1.33 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.01 |
| Advanced Education | +0.83 | +0.83 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |