Round 9 · simulation 10 · mcts-m2.m2-gbr-mcts-tier1

Round 2035

Round 9 of 20 in simulation 10 of United Kingdom, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, AI labour shock, and the index +0.107 to 17.17.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2035 (the end of 2034) and as it left it.

Capability index
17.17 (+0.108)
In: 17.06
Rank by index
2
In: 2
Domains at Tier 1
7
In: 7
Credits carried
637
In: 616
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology16.5216.66+0.1342
Strategic Infrastructure15.6615.73+0.0771
National Security15.9615.97+0.0053
Human Capital18.5518.62+0.0721
Information & Influence17.4317.83+0.4031
Governance & Integrity16.3116.39+0.0801
Financial Strength17.5917.49−0.1021
Production & Innovation16.6116.86+0.2471
Trade & Investment18.8918.95+0.0531

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2035: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 1,077, plus 616 carried in. Maintenance 789. Spent 267 on actions (build 160, buy 107). 637 carried over.

  • BuildDiaspora & Global Communities53 credits for 2.70 levelsmcts_greedyahead of Diaspora & Global Communities by 0 per cent
  • BuildEarly Childhood Development53 credits for 2.15 levelsmcts_greedyahead of Public Integrity & Anti-Corruption by 0 per cent
  • BuildPublic Integrity & Anti-Corruption53 credits for 2.09 levelsmcts_greedyahead of Artificial Intelligence by 1 per cent
  • BuyArtificial Intelligence53 credits for 2.35 levelsmcts_greedyahead of Industrial & Sectoral Base by 0 per cent
  • BuyIndustrial & Sectoral Base53 credits for 2.35 levelsmcts_greedyahead of Population Health by 0 per cent
  • Shock: AI labour shock S08. −16.7 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.
The groups that moved most in 2035, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Industrial & Sectoral Base+2.24+2.350.00−0.09−0.02
Artificial Intelligence+2.17+2.350.00−0.180.00
Diplomatic Statecraft & Global Networks+1.09+1.130.00−0.09+0.06
Early Childhood Development+1.09+1.160.00−0.06−0.01
Digital & Services Trade+1.00+1.190.00−0.22+0.03
Development Cooperation & Global Assistance+0.85+0.810.00−0.09+0.13