Round 10 · simulation 10 · mcts-m2.m2-gbr-mcts-tier1

Round 2036

Round 10 of 20 in simulation 10 of United Kingdom, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, Middle East settlement, and the index +0.073 to 17.24.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2036 (the end of 2035) and as it left it.

Capability index
17.24 (+0.073)
In: 17.17
Rank by index
2
In: 2
Domains at Tier 1
7
In: 7
Credits carried
437
In: 605
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology16.6616.57−0.0872
Strategic Infrastructure15.7315.88+0.1431
National Security15.9716.06+0.0873
Human Capital18.6218.82+0.2011
Information & Influence17.8317.98+0.1531
Governance & Integrity16.3916.51+0.1211
Financial Strength17.4917.41−0.0791
Production & Innovation16.8617.06+0.2021
Trade & Investment18.9518.86−0.0831

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2036: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 942, plus 605 carried in. Maintenance 841. Spent 269 on actions (build 215, partner 54). 437 carried over.

  • PartnerSpace, Aerospace & Defence Infrastructure54 credits for 1.71 levelsmctsahead of Population Health by 0 per cent
  • BuildStructural Transformation & Complexity54 credits for 2.63 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuildPopulation Health54 credits for 2.29 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuildResearch Talent & Knowledge Creation54 credits for 1.23 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuildLabour & Employment54 credits for 2.62 levelsmcts_fill
  • Upside event: Middle East settlement S14. +11.3 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure and readiness, spread over its duration.
The groups that moved most in 2036, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Early Childhood Development+1.14+1.160.00−0.030.00
Diaspora & Global Communities+0.87+0.900.00−0.03+0.01
Structural Transformation & Complexity+0.81+0.880.00−0.060.00
Labour & Employment+0.74+0.870.00−0.16+0.02
Space, Aerospace & Defence Infrastructure+0.67+0.570.00+0.02+0.08
Public Integrity & Anti-Corruption+0.43+0.420.00+0.020.00