Round 2030
Round 4 of 20 in simulation 50 of United Kingdom, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.183 to 16.66.
Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2030 (the end of 2029) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 16.66 (+0.183)
- In: 16.48
- Rank by index
- 2
- In: 3
- Domains at Tier 1
- 4
- In: 4
- Credits carried
- 457
- In: 331
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 16.17 | 16.17 | −0.003 | 3 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 15.68 | 15.69 | +0.012 | 2 |
| National Security | 15.87 | 15.87 | 0.000 | 3 |
| Human Capital | 17.92 | 18.38 | +0.459 | 1 |
| Information & Influence | 16.74 | 16.97 | +0.226 | 2 |
| Governance & Integrity | 16.26 | 16.26 | 0.000 | 1 |
| Financial Strength | 17.56 | 17.56 | −0.002 | 1 |
| Production & Innovation | 15.76 | 16.30 | +0.546 | 1 |
| Trade & Investment | 16.35 | 16.76 | +0.413 | 3 → 2 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2030: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 973, plus 331 carried in. Maintenance 604. Spent 243 on actions (build 49, buy 49, partner 146). 457 carried over.
- BuyTechnology Adoption & Diffusion49 credits for 3.19 levelsmctsahead of Technology Adoption & Diffusion by 0 per cent
- PartnerTrade Policy & Market Access49 credits for 3.05 levelsmcts_fill
- BuildEconomic Output & Productivity49 credits for 2.09 levelsmcts_fill
- PartnerExport Capability & Sophistication49 credits for 2.87 levelsmcts_fill
- PartnerAlliances & Security Cooperation49 credits for 2.76 levelsmcts_fill
Tiers. Trade & Investment Tier 3 to 2.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Technology Adoption & Diffusion | +3.17 | +3.19 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.02 |
| Trade Policy & Market Access | +1.52 | +1.53 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.01 |
| Export Capability & Sophistication | +1.41 | +1.43 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.02 |
| Alliances & Security Cooperation | +1.37 | +1.38 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.01 |
| Foundational Education | +1.33 | +1.34 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Lifelong Learning & Reskilling | +0.82 | +2.16 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |