Round 2031
Round 5 of 20 in simulation 50 of United Kingdom, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.177 to 16.84.
Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2031 (the end of 2030) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 16.84 (+0.177)
- In: 16.66
- Rank by index
- 2
- In: 2
- Domains at Tier 1
- 5
- In: 4
- Credits carried
- 532
- In: 434
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 16.17 | 16.18 | +0.008 | 3 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 15.69 | 15.70 | +0.011 | 2 |
| National Security | 15.87 | 15.86 | −0.005 | 3 |
| Human Capital | 18.38 | 18.48 | +0.102 | 1 |
| Information & Influence | 16.97 | 17.17 | +0.207 | 2 |
| Governance & Integrity | 16.26 | 16.26 | −0.003 | 1 |
| Financial Strength | 17.56 | 17.65 | +0.088 | 1 |
| Production & Innovation | 16.30 | 16.50 | +0.197 | 1 |
| Trade & Investment | 16.76 | 17.75 | +0.986 | 2 → 1 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2031: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 985, plus 434 carried in. Maintenance 643. Spent 243 on actions (build 49, partner 195). 532 carried over.
- PartnerFiscal Capacity & Public Finance49 credits for 0.79 levelsmctsahead of Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance by 0 per cent
- BuildEconomic Output & Productivity49 credits for 1.96 levelsmcts_fill
- PartnerGlobal Value Chain Position49 credits for 2.80 levelsmcts_fill
- PartnerEconomic Leverage & Dependence49 credits for 2.93 levelsmcts_fill
- PartnerInvestment Attraction & Projection49 credits for 2.36 levelsmcts_fill
Tiers. Trade & Investment Tier 2 to 1.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Economic Leverage & Dependence | +1.46 | +1.46 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Global Value Chain Position | +1.43 | +1.40 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.03 |
| Export Capability & Sophistication | +1.42 | +1.43 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.01 |
| Trade Policy & Market Access | +1.42 | +1.53 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.01 |
| Economic Output & Productivity | +1.34 | +1.35 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.01 |
| Alliances & Security Cooperation | +1.25 | +1.38 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.01 |