Round 6 · simulation 40 · mcts-m2.m2-ken-greedy-marginal

Round 2032

Round 6 of 20 in simulation 40 of Kenya, greedy, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.047 to 6.65.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2032 (the end of 2031) and as it left it.

Capability index
6.65 (+0.046)
In: 6.60
Rank by index
89
In: 90
Domains at Tier 1
0
In: 0
Credits carried
3
In: 2
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology2.762.84+0.08211
Strategic Infrastructure6.786.74−0.0388
National Security3.483.46−0.01610
Human Capital7.928.03+0.10912
Information & Influence8.278.41+0.1438
Governance & Integrity8.348.33−0.00615 → 16
Financial Strength7.657.65+0.00120
Production & Innovation6.956.95−0.00216
Trade & Investment7.267.40+0.14813

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2032: the credits, the greedy method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 127, plus 2 carried in. Maintenance 94. Spent 31 on actions (build 6, buy 6, partner 19). 3 carried over.

  • BuildTechnical & Vocational Skills6 credits for 0.67 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Investment Attraction & Projection by 1 per cent
  • PartnerInvestment Attraction & Projection6 credits for 0.72 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Artificial Intelligence by 0 per cent
  • BuyArtificial Intelligence6 credits for 0.85 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Trade Policy & Market Access by 0 per cent
  • PartnerTrade Policy & Market Access6 credits for 0.84 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Alliances & Security Cooperation by 0 per cent
  • PartnerAlliances & Security Cooperation6 credits for 0.87 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Economic Leverage & Dependence by 0 per cent

Tiers. Governance & Integrity Tier 15 to 16.

The groups that moved most in 2032, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Alliances & Security Cooperation+0.85+0.870.000.00−0.02
Artificial Intelligence+0.84+0.850.000.00−0.01
Technical & Vocational Skills+0.74+0.740.000.000.00
Trade Policy & Market Access+0.41+0.420.000.00−0.01
Export Capability & Sophistication+0.37+0.370.000.00−0.01
Investment Attraction & Projection+0.36+0.360.000.000.00