Round 7 · simulation 40 · mcts-m2.m2-ken-greedy-marginal

Round 2033

Round 7 of 20 in simulation 40 of Kenya, greedy, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.066 to 6.71.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2033 (the end of 2032) and as it left it.

Capability index
6.71 (+0.066)
In: 6.65
Rank by index
87
In: 89
Domains at Tier 1
0
In: 0
Credits carried
4
In: 3
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology2.842.91+0.06911
Strategic Infrastructure6.746.75+0.0058
National Security3.463.46+0.00210
Human Capital8.038.10+0.06712 → 11
Information & Influence8.418.49+0.0758
Governance & Integrity8.338.33−0.00516
Financial Strength7.657.69+0.03320
Production & Innovation6.957.13+0.18416 → 15
Trade & Investment7.407.57+0.16513

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2033: the credits, the greedy method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 128, plus 3 carried in. Maintenance 95. Spent 32 on actions (buy 19, partner 13). 4 carried over.

  • BuySemiconductors & Advanced Computing6 credits for 0.70 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Economic Leverage & Dependence by 0 per cent
  • PartnerEconomic Leverage & Dependence6 credits for 0.81 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Technology Adoption & Diffusion by 0 per cent
  • BuyTechnology Adoption & Diffusion6 credits for 0.76 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Economic Output & Productivity by 0 per cent
  • BuyEconomic Output & Productivity6 credits for 0.51 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance by 0 per cent
  • PartnerFiscal Capacity & Public Finance6 credits for 0.38 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Investment Attraction & Projection by 1 per cent

Tiers. Human Capital Tier 12 to 11; Production & Innovation Tier 16 to 15.

The groups that moved most in 2033, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Technology Adoption & Diffusion+0.77+0.760.000.000.00
Semiconductors & Advanced Computing+0.69+0.700.000.00−0.01
Technical & Vocational Skills+0.56+0.570.000.000.00
Economic Output & Productivity+0.52+0.510.000.00+0.01
Alliances & Security Cooperation+0.43+0.440.000.00−0.01
Trade Policy & Market Access+0.41+0.420.000.00−0.01