Round 8 · simulation 40 · mcts-m2.m2-ken-greedy-marginal

Round 2034

Round 8 of 20 in simulation 40 of Kenya, greedy, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.053 to 6.77.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2034 (the end of 2033) and as it left it.

Capability index
6.77 (+0.054)
In: 6.71
Rank by index
85
In: 87
Domains at Tier 1
0
In: 0
Credits carried
7
In: 4
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology2.913.14+0.23311 → 9
Strategic Infrastructure6.756.75+0.0078
National Security3.463.47+0.00510
Human Capital8.108.14+0.03611
Information & Influence8.498.49+0.0058
Governance & Integrity8.338.32−0.00516
Financial Strength7.697.76+0.07720
Production & Innovation7.137.14+0.00715
Trade & Investment7.577.69+0.11713

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2034: the credits, the greedy method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 132, plus 4 carried in. Maintenance 96. Spent 32 on actions (buy 19, partner 13). 7 carried over.

  • BuySemiconductors & Advanced Computing6 credits for 0.69 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Connectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies by 1 per cent
  • BuyConnectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies6 credits for 0.83 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Economic Leverage & Dependence by 1 per cent
  • PartnerEconomic Leverage & Dependence6 credits for 0.80 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance by 1 per cent
  • PartnerFiscal Capacity & Public Finance6 credits for 0.38 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Artificial Intelligence by 0 per cent
  • BuyArtificial Intelligence6 credits for 0.82 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Export Capability & Sophistication by 0 per cent

Tiers. Critical Technology Tier 11 to 9.

The groups that moved most in 2034, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Connectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies+0.83+0.830.000.000.00
Artificial Intelligence+0.82+0.820.000.000.00
Economic Leverage & Dependence+0.80+0.800.000.000.00
Semiconductors & Advanced Computing+0.69+0.690.000.00−0.01
Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance+0.46+0.380.000.00+0.08
Technical & Vocational Skills+0.41+0.420.000.000.00