Round 2035
Round 9 of 20 in simulation 40 of Kenya, greedy, 20 years: 5 actions, Core disaster, and the index −0.532 to 6.24.
Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2035 (the end of 2034) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 6.24 (−0.532)
- In: 6.77
- Rank by index
- 94
- In: 85
- Domains at Tier 1
- 0
- In: 0
- Credits carried
- 11
- In: 7
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 3.14 | 3.18 | +0.044 | 9 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 6.75 | 5.85 | −0.902 | 8 → 9 |
| National Security | 3.47 | 3.13 | −0.341 | 10 |
| Human Capital | 8.14 | 7.65 | −0.484 | 11 |
| Information & Influence | 8.49 | 8.27 | −0.224 | 8 |
| Governance & Integrity | 8.32 | 7.86 | −0.466 | 16 |
| Financial Strength | 7.76 | 6.84 | −0.926 | 20 → 22 |
| Production & Innovation | 7.14 | 6.43 | −0.716 | 15 → 16 |
| Trade & Investment | 7.69 | 6.92 | −0.771 | 13 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2035: the credits, the greedy method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 135, plus 7 carried in. Maintenance 98. Spent 33 on actions (buy 20, partner 13). 11 carried over.
- BuySemiconductors & Advanced Computing7 credits for 0.71 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Export Capability & Sophistication by 3 per cent
- PartnerExport Capability & Sophistication7 credits for 0.75 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Development Cooperation & Global Assistance by 0 per cent
- BuyDevelopment Cooperation & Global Assistance7 credits for 0.76 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Economic Output & Productivity by 1 per cent
- BuyEconomic Output & Productivity7 credits for 0.52 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Investment Attraction & Projection by 0 per cent
- PartnerInvestment Attraction & Projection7 credits for 0.72 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Digital & AI Competence by 1 per cent
- Shock: Core disaster S07. −41.7 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.
Tiers. Strategic Infrastructure Tier 8 to 9; Financial Strength Tier 20 to 22; Production & Innovation Tier 15 to 16.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trade Facilitation & Logistics | −1.62 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −1.61 | −0.01 |
| Financial System Depth & Access | −1.42 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −1.41 | 0.00 |
| Industrial & Sectoral Base | −1.37 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −1.37 | −0.01 |
| Energy Infrastructure | −1.31 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −1.31 | 0.00 |
| Water, Sanitation & Waste Infrastructure | −1.30 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −1.31 | +0.01 |
| Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance | −1.27 | +0.19 | 0.00 | −1.47 | +0.01 |