Round 10 · simulation 40 · mcts-m2.m2-ken-greedy-marginal

Round 2036

Round 10 of 20 in simulation 40 of Kenya, greedy, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.048 to 6.28.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2036 (the end of 2035) and as it left it.

Capability index
6.28 (+0.048)
In: 6.24
Rank by index
93
In: 94
Domains at Tier 1
0
In: 0
Credits carried
9
In: 11
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology3.183.20+0.0179
Strategic Infrastructure5.855.86+0.0129
National Security3.133.13+0.00710
Human Capital7.657.66+0.01011
Information & Influence8.278.26−0.0048
Governance & Integrity7.867.85−0.00716
Financial Strength6.846.85+0.00922
Production & Innovation6.436.54+0.11816 → 15
Trade & Investment6.927.18+0.26813

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2036: the credits, the greedy method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 120, plus 11 carried in. Maintenance 88. Spent 34 on actions (buy 7, partner 27). 9 carried over.

  • PartnerFiscal Capacity & Public Finance7 credits for 0.42 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Trade Policy & Market Access by 1 per cent
  • PartnerTrade Policy & Market Access7 credits for 0.90 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Technology Adoption & Diffusion by 1 per cent
  • BuyTechnology Adoption & Diffusion7 credits for 0.81 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Trade Facilitation & Logistics by 1 per cent
  • PartnerTrade Facilitation & Logistics7 credits for 0.81 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Export Capability & Sophistication by 0 per cent
  • PartnerExport Capability & Sophistication7 credits for 0.79 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Investment Attraction & Projection by 1 per cent

Tiers. Production & Innovation Tier 16 to 15.

The groups that moved most in 2036, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Technology Adoption & Diffusion+0.82+0.810.000.00+0.01
Export Capability & Sophistication+0.74+0.770.000.00−0.03
Trade Policy & Market Access+0.45+0.450.000.000.00
Trade Facilitation & Logistics+0.40+0.410.000.00−0.01
Investment Attraction & Projection+0.35+0.360.000.00−0.02
Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance+0.18+0.210.000.00−0.03