Round 18 · simulation 40 · mcts-m2.m2-ken-greedy-marginal

Round 2044

Round 18 of 20 in simulation 40 of Kenya, greedy, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.041 to 5.84.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2044 (the end of 2043) and as it left it.

Capability index
5.84 (+0.041)
In: 5.80
Rank by index
101
In: 102
Domains at Tier 1
0
In: 0
Credits carried
43
In: 50
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology4.074.12+0.0477
Strategic Infrastructure4.844.86+0.01910
National Security2.692.70+0.01011
Human Capital7.037.03−0.00111
Information & Influence7.647.63−0.0108
Governance & Integrity7.437.42−0.00816
Financial Strength5.825.80−0.02025
Production & Innovation5.825.93+0.11215
Trade & Investment6.877.09+0.22213 → 12

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2044: the credits, the greedy method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 113, plus 50 carried in. Maintenance 83. Spent 36 on actions (buy 7, partner 29). 43 carried over.

  • PartnerFiscal Capacity & Public Finance7 credits for 0.48 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Trade Facilitation & Logistics by 1 per cent
  • PartnerTrade Facilitation & Logistics7 credits for 0.90 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Trade Policy & Market Access by 2 per cent
  • PartnerTrade Policy & Market Access7 credits for 0.93 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Technology Adoption & Diffusion by 2 per cent
  • BuyTechnology Adoption & Diffusion7 credits for 0.85 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Economic Leverage & Dependence by 2 per cent
  • PartnerEconomic Leverage & Dependence7 credits for 0.89 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Export Capability & Sophistication by 0 per cent

Tiers. Trade & Investment Tier 13 to 12.

The groups that moved most in 2044, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Trade Facilitation & Logistics+0.85+0.850.000.000.00
Technology Adoption & Diffusion+0.85+0.850.000.000.00
Economic Leverage & Dependence+0.45+0.450.000.000.00
Trade Policy & Market Access+0.44+0.460.000.00−0.02
Space Technologies+0.33+0.320.000.000.00
Artificial Intelligence+0.130.000.000.00+0.13