Round 2031
Round 5 of 20 in simulation 43 of Kenya, greedy, 20 years: 5 actions, Trade bloc rupture, and the index −0.011 to 7.07.
Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2031 (the end of 2030) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 7.07 (−0.011)
- In: 7.08
- Rank by index
- 80
- In: 80
- Domains at Tier 1
- 0
- In: 0
- Credits carried
- 4
- In: 2
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 2.81 | 2.81 | −0.008 | 11 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 7.77 | 7.73 | −0.039 | 8 |
| National Security | 4.49 | 4.46 | −0.034 | 9 |
| Human Capital | 7.99 | 8.12 | +0.134 | 12 |
| Information & Influence | 8.24 | 8.19 | −0.050 | 9 |
| Governance & Integrity | 8.76 | 8.72 | −0.043 | 15 |
| Financial Strength | 8.29 | 8.21 | −0.085 | 18 |
| Production & Innovation | 7.43 | 7.48 | +0.044 | 14 |
| Trade & Investment | 7.94 | 7.93 | −0.014 | 13 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2031: the credits, the greedy method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 139, plus 2 carried in. Maintenance 107. Spent 31 on actions (build 7, buy 14, partner 10). 4 carried over.
- BuildTechnical & Vocational Skills7 credits for 0.78 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Artificial Intelligence by 4 per cent
- BuyArtificial Intelligence7 credits for 0.97 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Export Capability & Sophistication by 1 per cent
- PartnerExport Capability & Sophistication7 credits for 0.83 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Technology Adoption & Diffusion by 0 per cent
- BuyTechnology Adoption & Diffusion7 credits for 0.85 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Alliances & Security Cooperation by 1 per cent
- PartnerAlliances & Security Cooperation3 credits for 0.40 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Development Cooperation & Global Assistance by 0 per cent
- Shock: Trade bloc rupture S01. −13.9 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Artificial Intelligence | +0.84 | +0.97 | 0.00 | −0.07 | −0.06 |
| Technical & Vocational Skills | +0.78 | +0.81 | 0.00 | −0.02 | 0.00 |
| Technology Adoption & Diffusion | +0.78 | +0.85 | 0.00 | −0.07 | 0.00 |
| Lifelong Learning & Reskilling | +0.32 | +0.34 | 0.00 | −0.02 | 0.00 |
| Digital & AI Competence | +0.25 | +0.28 | 0.00 | −0.02 | 0.00 |
| Trade Policy & Market Access | +0.25 | +0.42 | 0.00 | −0.16 | −0.01 |