Round 6 · simulation 43 · mcts-m2.m2-ken-greedy-marginal

Round 2032

Round 6 of 20 in simulation 43 of Kenya, greedy, 20 years: 4 actions, and the index −0.025 to 7.05.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2032 (the end of 2031) and as it left it.

Capability index
7.05 (−0.024)
In: 7.07
Rank by index
80
In: 80
Domains at Tier 1
0
In: 0
Credits carried
1
In: 4
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology2.812.70−0.10211
Strategic Infrastructure7.737.69−0.0408
National Security4.464.42−0.0349
Human Capital8.128.23+0.10412
Information & Influence8.198.29+0.1069 → 8
Governance & Integrity8.728.68−0.04315
Financial Strength8.218.12−0.08518
Production & Innovation7.487.40−0.07914
Trade & Investment7.937.88−0.05013

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2032: the credits, the greedy method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 121, plus 4 carried in. Maintenance 106. Spent 18 on actions (build 7, buy 7, partner 4). 1 carried over.

  • BuildTechnical & Vocational Skills7 credits for 0.74 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Development Cooperation & Global Assistance by 0 per cent
  • BuyDevelopment Cooperation & Global Assistance7 credits for 0.83 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Export Capability & Sophistication by 0 per cent
  • PartnerExport Capability & Sophistication3 credits for 0.33 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Alliances & Security Cooperation by 0 per cent
  • PartnerAlliances & Security Cooperation1 credits for 0.20 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Connectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies by 0 per cent

Earlier events still landing: −4.6 points this round.

Tiers. Information & Influence Tier 9 to 8.

The groups that moved most in 2032, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Technical & Vocational Skills+0.75+0.780.00−0.020.00
Development Cooperation & Global Assistance+0.75+0.830.00−0.080.00
Export Capability & Sophistication+0.41+0.580.00−0.17−0.01
Alliances & Security Cooperation+0.22+0.300.00−0.07−0.01
Digital & AI Competence+0.19+0.220.00−0.020.00
Trade Policy & Market Access−0.170.000.00−0.16−0.01