Round 7 · simulation 43 · mcts-m2.m2-ken-greedy-marginal

Round 2033

Round 7 of 20 in simulation 43 of Kenya, greedy, 20 years: 3 actions, and the index −0.033 to 7.01.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2033 (the end of 2032) and as it left it.

Capability index
7.01 (−0.034)
In: 7.05
Rank by index
80
In: 80
Domains at Tier 1
0
In: 0
Credits carried
1
In: 1
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology2.702.79+0.09011 → 10
Strategic Infrastructure7.697.65−0.0408
National Security4.424.39−0.0349
Human Capital8.238.29+0.05812 → 11
Information & Influence8.298.23−0.0658
Governance & Integrity8.688.63−0.04315
Financial Strength8.128.04−0.08418
Production & Innovation7.407.33−0.07114 → 15
Trade & Investment7.887.77−0.11213

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2033: the credits, the greedy method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 120, plus 1 carried in. Maintenance 105. Spent 15 on actions (buy 15). 1 carried over.

  • BuyConnectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies6 credits for 0.81 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Artificial Intelligence by 1 per cent
  • BuyArtificial Intelligence6 credits for 0.82 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Semiconductors & Advanced Computing by 0 per cent
  • BuySemiconductors & Advanced Computing2 credits for 0.27 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Trade Policy & Market Access by 1 per cent

Earlier events still landing: −4.6 points this round.

Tiers. Critical Technology Tier 11 to 10; Human Capital Tier 12 to 11; Production & Innovation Tier 14 to 15.

The groups that moved most in 2033, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Connectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies+0.72+0.810.00−0.090.00
Artificial Intelligence+0.70+0.820.00−0.07−0.04
Technical & Vocational Skills+0.58+0.600.00−0.020.00
Economic Leverage & Dependence−0.180.000.00−0.16−0.01
Trade Policy & Market Access−0.180.000.00−0.16−0.02
Global Value Chain Position−0.170.000.00−0.16−0.01