Round 8 · simulation 43 · mcts-m2.m2-ken-greedy-marginal

Round 2034

Round 8 of 20 in simulation 43 of Kenya, greedy, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.042 to 7.05.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2034 (the end of 2033) and as it left it.

Capability index
7.05 (+0.042)
In: 7.01
Rank by index
80
In: 80
Domains at Tier 1
0
In: 0
Credits carried
2
In: 1
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology2.792.85+0.06110
Strategic Infrastructure7.657.65−0.0068
National Security4.394.39+0.0029
Human Capital8.298.35+0.06111
Information & Influence8.238.30+0.0698
Governance & Integrity8.638.63−0.00215
Financial Strength8.048.04−0.00418
Production & Innovation7.337.43+0.10115 → 14
Trade & Investment7.777.87+0.09813

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2034: the credits, the greedy method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 136, plus 1 carried in. Maintenance 105. Spent 30 on actions (buy 12, partner 18). 2 carried over.

  • BuySemiconductors & Advanced Computing6 credits for 0.67 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Trade Policy & Market Access by 0 per cent
  • PartnerTrade Policy & Market Access6 credits for 0.80 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Alliances & Security Cooperation by 1 per cent
  • PartnerAlliances & Security Cooperation6 credits for 0.82 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Export Capability & Sophistication by 1 per cent
  • PartnerExport Capability & Sophistication6 credits for 0.70 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Technology Adoption & Diffusion by 1 per cent
  • BuyTechnology Adoption & Diffusion6 credits for 0.71 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Investment Attraction & Projection by 0 per cent

Tiers. Production & Innovation Tier 15 to 14.

The groups that moved most in 2034, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Technology Adoption & Diffusion+0.71+0.710.000.000.00
Semiconductors & Advanced Computing+0.67+0.670.000.000.00
Technical & Vocational Skills+0.45+0.450.000.000.00
Alliances & Security Cooperation+0.40+0.410.000.00−0.01
Trade Policy & Market Access+0.38+0.400.000.00−0.02
Export Capability & Sophistication+0.33+0.350.000.00−0.02