Round 9 · simulation 43 · mcts-m2.m2-ken-greedy-marginal

Round 2035

Round 9 of 20 in simulation 43 of Kenya, greedy, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.059 to 7.11.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2035 (the end of 2034) and as it left it.

Capability index
7.11 (+0.059)
In: 7.05
Rank by index
80
In: 80
Domains at Tier 1
0
In: 0
Credits carried
2
In: 2
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology2.853.10+0.25010 → 9
Strategic Infrastructure7.657.64−0.0058
National Security4.394.39+0.0019
Human Capital8.358.38+0.02911 → 8
Information & Influence8.308.37+0.0718
Governance & Integrity8.638.63−0.00215
Financial Strength8.048.040.00018
Production & Innovation7.437.43+0.00114
Trade & Investment7.878.05+0.18713 → 12

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2035: the credits, the greedy method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 135, plus 2 carried in. Maintenance 106. Spent 30 on actions (buy 20, partner 10). 2 carried over.

  • BuySemiconductors & Advanced Computing7 credits for 0.74 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Trade Policy & Market Access by 3 per cent
  • PartnerTrade Policy & Market Access7 credits for 0.88 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Artificial Intelligence by 0 per cent
  • BuyArtificial Intelligence7 credits for 0.87 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Connectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies by 0 per cent
  • BuyConnectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies7 credits for 0.86 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Investment Attraction & Projection by 0 per cent
  • PartnerInvestment Attraction & Projection3 credits for 0.31 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Alliances & Security Cooperation by 0 per cent

Tiers. Critical Technology Tier 10 to 9; Human Capital Tier 11 to 8; Trade & Investment Tier 13 to 12.

The groups that moved most in 2035, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Artificial Intelligence+0.88+0.870.000.00+0.01
Connectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies+0.86+0.860.000.000.00
Trade Policy & Market Access+0.83+0.840.000.00−0.01
Semiconductors & Advanced Computing+0.74+0.740.000.000.00
Alliances & Security Cooperation+0.40+0.410.000.00−0.01
Export Capability & Sophistication+0.33+0.350.000.00−0.02