Round 10 · simulation 43 · mcts-m2.m2-ken-greedy-marginal

Round 2036

Round 10 of 20 in simulation 43 of Kenya, greedy, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.052 to 7.17.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2036 (the end of 2035) and as it left it.

Capability index
7.17 (+0.052)
In: 7.11
Rank by index
80
In: 80
Domains at Tier 1
0
In: 0
Credits carried
1
In: 2
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology3.103.19+0.0889
Strategic Infrastructure7.647.64−0.0058
National Security4.394.390.0009
Human Capital8.388.39+0.0138
Information & Influence8.378.52+0.1498
Governance & Integrity8.638.63−0.00315
Financial Strength8.048.04+0.00118
Production & Innovation7.437.51+0.08214
Trade & Investment8.058.19+0.14212 → 11

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2036: the credits, the greedy method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 136, plus 2 carried in. Maintenance 108. Spent 28 on actions (buy 20, partner 8). 1 carried over.

  • BuySemiconductors & Advanced Computing7 credits for 0.73 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Investment Attraction & Projection by 4 per cent
  • PartnerInvestment Attraction & Projection7 credits for 0.75 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Development Cooperation & Global Assistance by 0 per cent
  • BuyDevelopment Cooperation & Global Assistance7 credits for 0.78 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Economic Output & Productivity by 0 per cent
  • BuyEconomic Output & Productivity7 credits for 0.53 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Alliances & Security Cooperation by 1 per cent
  • PartnerAlliances & Security Cooperation1 credits for 0.18 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Economic Leverage & Dependence by 0 per cent

Tiers. Trade & Investment Tier 12 to 11.

The groups that moved most in 2036, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Development Cooperation & Global Assistance+0.78+0.780.000.000.00
Semiconductors & Advanced Computing+0.73+0.730.000.000.00
Economic Output & Productivity+0.56+0.530.000.00+0.03
Investment Attraction & Projection+0.53+0.530.000.000.00
Trade Policy & Market Access+0.43+0.440.000.00−0.01
Artificial Intelligence+0.160.000.000.00+0.16