Round 11 · simulation 43 · mcts-m2.m2-ken-greedy-marginal

Round 2037

Round 11 of 20 in simulation 43 of Kenya, greedy, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.048 to 7.21.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2037 (the end of 2036) and as it left it.

Capability index
7.21 (+0.048)
In: 7.17
Rank by index
79
In: 80
Domains at Tier 1
0
In: 0
Credits carried
2
In: 1
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology3.193.37+0.1819
Strategic Infrastructure7.647.64−0.0018
National Security4.394.40+0.0029
Human Capital8.398.38−0.0058
Information & Influence8.528.61+0.0908 → 7
Governance & Integrity8.638.62−0.00215
Financial Strength8.048.05+0.01318
Production & Innovation7.517.52+0.01014
Trade & Investment8.198.34+0.14411

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2037: the credits, the greedy method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 139, plus 1 carried in. Maintenance 109. Spent 30 on actions (buy 14, partner 16). 2 carried over.

  • BuySemiconductors & Advanced Computing7 credits for 0.71 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Alliances & Security Cooperation by 5 per cent
  • PartnerAlliances & Security Cooperation7 credits for 0.88 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Advanced Materials & Manufacturing by 0 per cent
  • BuyAdvanced Materials & Manufacturing7 credits for 0.83 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Economic Leverage & Dependence by 0 per cent
  • PartnerEconomic Leverage & Dependence7 credits for 0.82 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Export Capability & Sophistication by 0 per cent
  • PartnerExport Capability & Sophistication3 credits for 0.31 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Artificial Intelligence by 1 per cent

Tiers. Information & Influence Tier 8 to 7.

The groups that moved most in 2037, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Advanced Materials & Manufacturing+0.83+0.830.000.000.00
Semiconductors & Advanced Computing+0.71+0.710.000.000.00
Alliances & Security Cooperation+0.52+0.530.000.00−0.01
Economic Leverage & Dependence+0.46+0.410.000.00+0.05
Investment Attraction & Projection+0.39+0.370.000.00+0.02
Artificial Intelligence+0.230.000.000.00+0.23