Round 12 · simulation 43 · mcts-m2.m2-ken-greedy-marginal

Round 2038

Round 12 of 20 in simulation 43 of Kenya, greedy, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.062 to 7.28.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2038 (the end of 2037) and as it left it.

Capability index
7.28 (+0.062)
In: 7.21
Rank by index
77
In: 79
Domains at Tier 1
0
In: 0
Credits carried
1
In: 2
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology3.373.64+0.2659 → 8
Strategic Infrastructure7.647.64+0.0038
National Security4.404.41+0.0099
Human Capital8.388.38−0.0038
Information & Influence8.618.69+0.0847
Governance & Integrity8.628.62−0.00215
Financial Strength8.058.05+0.00318
Production & Innovation7.527.57+0.05314
Trade & Investment8.348.48+0.14511

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2038: the credits, the greedy method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 141, plus 2 carried in. Maintenance 110. Spent 31 on actions (buy 24, partner 7). 1 carried over.

  • BuySemiconductors & Advanced Computing7 credits for 0.71 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Connectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies by 4 per cent
  • BuyConnectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies7 credits for 0.84 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Advanced Materials & Manufacturing by 0 per cent
  • BuyAdvanced Materials & Manufacturing7 credits for 0.83 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Export Capability & Sophistication by 0 per cent
  • PartnerExport Capability & Sophistication7 credits for 0.77 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Technology Adoption & Diffusion by 0 per cent
  • BuyTechnology Adoption & Diffusion3 credits for 0.32 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Artificial Intelligence by 0 per cent

Tiers. Critical Technology Tier 9 to 8.

The groups that moved most in 2038, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Connectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies+0.84+0.840.000.000.00
Advanced Materials & Manufacturing+0.83+0.830.000.000.00
Semiconductors & Advanced Computing+0.71+0.710.000.000.00
Export Capability & Sophistication+0.54+0.540.000.000.00
Economic Leverage & Dependence+0.46+0.410.000.00+0.05
Alliances & Security Cooperation+0.43+0.440.000.000.00