Round 2039
Round 13 of 20 in simulation 43 of Kenya, greedy, 20 years: 5 actions, Trade bloc rupture, and the index −0.028 to 7.25.
Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2039 (the end of 2038) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 7.25 (−0.028)
- In: 7.28
- Rank by index
- 78
- In: 77
- Domains at Tier 1
- 0
- In: 0
- Credits carried
- 0
- In: 1
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 3.64 | 3.79 | +0.155 | 8 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 7.64 | 7.61 | −0.027 | 8 |
| National Security | 4.41 | 4.37 | −0.033 | 9 |
| Human Capital | 8.38 | 8.35 | −0.029 | 8 |
| Information & Influence | 8.69 | 8.60 | −0.089 | 7 → 8 |
| Governance & Integrity | 8.62 | 8.57 | −0.049 | 15 |
| Financial Strength | 8.05 | 7.96 | −0.091 | 18 |
| Production & Innovation | 7.57 | 7.57 | −0.008 | 14 → 15 |
| Trade & Investment | 8.48 | 8.40 | −0.083 | 11 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2039: the credits, the greedy method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 141, plus 1 carried in. Maintenance 112. Spent 30 on actions (buy 30). 0 carried over.
- BuySemiconductors & Advanced Computing7 credits for 0.69 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Sensing, Timing & Navigation by 3 per cent
- BuySensing, Timing & Navigation7 credits for 0.87 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Artificial Intelligence by 0 per cent
- BuyArtificial Intelligence7 credits for 0.82 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Economic Output & Productivity by 0 per cent
- BuyEconomic Output & Productivity7 credits for 0.53 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Advanced Materials & Manufacturing by 0 per cent
- BuyAdvanced Materials & Manufacturing1 credits for 0.17 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Lifelong Learning & Reskilling by 0 per cent
- Shock: Trade bloc rupture S01. −16.4 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.
Tiers. Information & Influence Tier 7 to 8; Production & Innovation Tier 14 to 15.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Artificial Intelligence | +0.97 | +0.82 | 0.00 | −0.10 | +0.25 |
| Sensing, Timing & Navigation | +0.78 | +0.87 | 0.00 | −0.09 | 0.00 |
| Economic Output & Productivity | +0.45 | +0.53 | 0.00 | −0.08 | 0.00 |
| Semiconductors & Advanced Computing | +0.44 | +0.69 | 0.00 | −0.25 | 0.00 |
| Export Capability & Sophistication | +0.19 | +0.39 | 0.00 | −0.20 | 0.00 |
| Global Value Chain Position | −0.18 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.18 | 0.00 |