Round 14 · simulation 43 · mcts-m2.m2-ken-greedy-marginal

Round 2040

Round 14 of 20 in simulation 43 of Kenya, greedy, 20 years: 3 actions, and the index −0.055 to 7.19.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2040 (the end of 2039) and as it left it.

Capability index
7.19 (−0.055)
In: 7.25
Rank by index
79
In: 78
Domains at Tier 1
0
In: 0
Credits carried
0
In: 0
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology3.793.79+0.0028
Strategic Infrastructure7.617.59−0.0268
National Security4.374.34−0.0329
Human Capital8.358.32−0.0278
Information & Influence8.608.51−0.0898
Governance & Integrity8.578.53−0.04815
Financial Strength7.967.88−0.08318 → 19
Production & Innovation7.577.49−0.08015
Trade & Investment8.408.29−0.11511

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2040: the credits, the greedy method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 125. Maintenance 113. Spent 13 on actions (buy 10, partner 3). 0 carried over.

  • BuySemiconductors & Advanced Computing7 credits for 0.67 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Advanced Materials & Manufacturing by 2 per cent
  • BuyAdvanced Materials & Manufacturing3 credits for 0.33 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Trade Policy & Market Access by 0 per cent
  • PartnerTrade Policy & Market Access3 credits for 0.35 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Development Cooperation & Global Assistance by 1 per cent

Earlier events still landing: −5.5 points this round.

Tiers. Financial Strength Tier 18 to 19.

The groups that moved most in 2040, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Semiconductors & Advanced Computing+0.43+0.670.00−0.250.00
Export Capability & Sophistication−0.200.000.00−0.200.00
Global Value Chain Position−0.190.000.00−0.18−0.01
Biotechnology & Health Technologies−0.170.000.00−0.160.00
Monetary & Currency Capability−0.160.000.00−0.16−0.01
Artificial Intelligence+0.150.000.00−0.10+0.25