Round 2 · simulation 47 · mcts-m2.m2-ken-mcts-index

Round 2028

Round 2 of 20 in simulation 47 of Kenya, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.018 to 7.23.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2028 (the end of 2027) and as it left it.

Capability index
7.23 (+0.018)
In: 7.21
Rank by index
78
In: 79
Domains at Tier 1
0
In: 0
Credits carried
3
In: 2
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology3.003.000.00012
Strategic Infrastructure7.887.880.0007
National Security4.604.61+0.0089
Human Capital7.727.82+0.10112
Information & Influence8.368.360.0009
Governance & Integrity8.898.890.00014
Financial Strength8.578.570.00017
Production & Innovation7.577.62+0.05314
Trade & Investment8.308.300.00012

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2028: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 143, plus 2 carried in. Maintenance 111. Spent 32 on actions (build 22, buy 3, partner 7). 3 carried over.

  • PartnerNuclear Deterrence7 credits for 0.24 levelsmctsahead of Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance by 0 per cent
  • BuildTechnical & Vocational Skills7 credits for 0.88 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuildLifelong Learning & Reskilling7 credits for 0.85 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuildDigital & AI Competence7 credits for 0.75 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuyTechnology Adoption & Diffusion3 credits for 0.37 levelsmcts_fill
The groups that moved most in 2028, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Technology Adoption & Diffusion+0.37+0.370.000.000.00
Technical & Vocational Skills+0.35+0.350.000.000.00
Lifelong Learning & Reskilling+0.34+0.340.000.000.00
Digital & AI Competence+0.21+0.210.000.000.00
Nuclear Deterrence+0.08+0.080.000.000.00