Round 2030
Round 4 of 20 in simulation 47 of Kenya, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.067 to 7.33.
Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2030 (the end of 2029) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 7.33 (+0.067)
- In: 7.26
- Rank by index
- 76
- In: 77
- Domains at Tier 1
- 0
- In: 0
- Credits carried
- 4
- In: 3
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 3.04 | 3.18 | +0.136 | 12 → 10 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 7.88 | 7.88 | 0.000 | 7 |
| National Security | 4.62 | 4.63 | +0.012 | 9 |
| Human Capital | 7.98 | 8.16 | +0.180 | 12 |
| Information & Influence | 8.42 | 8.57 | +0.145 | 8 → 7 |
| Governance & Integrity | 8.89 | 8.89 | 0.000 | 14 |
| Financial Strength | 8.57 | 8.57 | 0.000 | 17 |
| Production & Innovation | 7.62 | 7.75 | +0.128 | 14 |
| Trade & Investment | 8.30 | 8.30 | 0.000 | 12 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2030: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 143, plus 3 carried in. Maintenance 111. Spent 32 on actions (build 10, buy 22). 4 carried over.
- BuyConnectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies7 credits for 0.98 levelsmctsahead of Technical & Vocational Skills by 0 per cent
- BuildTechnical & Vocational Skills7 credits for 0.83 levelsmcts_fill
- BuyTechnology Adoption & Diffusion7 credits for 0.89 levelsmcts_fill
- BuyDevelopment Cooperation & Global Assistance7 credits for 0.86 levelsmcts_fill
- BuildDigital & AI Competence3 credits for 0.30 levelsmcts_fill
Tiers. Critical Technology Tier 12 to 10; Information & Influence Tier 8 to 7.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies | +1.35 | +1.35 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Technology Adoption & Diffusion | +0.89 | +0.89 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Development Cooperation & Global Assistance | +0.86 | +0.86 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Technical & Vocational Skills | +0.69 | +0.69 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Lifelong Learning & Reskilling | +0.51 | +0.51 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Digital & AI Competence | +0.42 | +0.42 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |