Round 2029
Round 3 of 20 in simulation 50 of Kenya, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.051 to 7.29.
Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2029 (the end of 2028) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 7.29 (+0.051)
- In: 7.24
- Rank by index
- 77
- In: 78
- Domains at Tier 1
- 0
- In: 0
- Credits carried
- 3
- In: 4
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 3.00 | 3.10 | +0.100 | 12 → 10 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 7.88 | 7.88 | 0.000 | 7 |
| National Security | 4.60 | 4.60 | 0.000 | 9 |
| Human Capital | 7.79 | 7.96 | +0.170 | 12 |
| Information & Influence | 8.36 | 8.52 | +0.152 | 9 → 7 |
| Governance & Integrity | 8.89 | 8.89 | 0.000 | 14 |
| Financial Strength | 8.57 | 8.58 | +0.009 | 17 |
| Production & Innovation | 7.72 | 7.74 | +0.023 | 14 |
| Trade & Investment | 8.30 | 8.30 | +0.002 | 12 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2029: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 147, plus 4 carried in. Maintenance 111. Spent 36 on actions (build 14, buy 22). 3 carried over.
- BuyTechnical & Vocational Skills7 credits for 0.46 levelsmctsahead of Economic Output & Productivity by 1 per cent
- BuildLifelong Learning & Reskilling7 credits for 0.85 levelsmcts_fill
- BuildDigital & AI Competence7 credits for 0.76 levelsmcts_fill
- BuyConnectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies7 credits for 1.01 levelsmcts_fill
- BuyDevelopment Cooperation & Global Assistance7 credits for 0.88 levelsmcts_fill
Tiers. Critical Technology Tier 12 to 10; Information & Influence Tier 9 to 7.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies | +1.01 | +1.01 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Development Cooperation & Global Assistance | +0.89 | +0.88 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.01 |
| Technical & Vocational Skills | +0.82 | +0.82 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Lifelong Learning & Reskilling | +0.41 | +0.41 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Digital & AI Competence | +0.30 | +0.30 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Economic Output & Productivity | +0.14 | +0.14 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |