Round 2031
Round 5 of 20 in simulation 50 of Kenya, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.059 to 7.39.
Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2031 (the end of 2030) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 7.39 (+0.059)
- In: 7.33
- Rank by index
- 76
- In: 76
- Domains at Tier 1
- 0
- In: 0
- Credits carried
- 3
- In: 2
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 3.10 | 3.21 | +0.102 | 10 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 7.88 | 7.88 | +0.001 | 7 |
| National Security | 4.60 | 4.61 | +0.003 | 9 |
| Human Capital | 8.13 | 8.32 | +0.191 | 12 |
| Information & Influence | 8.52 | 8.62 | +0.095 | 7 |
| Governance & Integrity | 8.89 | 8.89 | 0.000 | 14 |
| Financial Strength | 8.62 | 8.66 | +0.040 | 17 |
| Production & Innovation | 7.89 | 7.93 | +0.037 | 14 |
| Trade & Investment | 8.30 | 8.36 | +0.062 | 12 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2031: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 150, plus 2 carried in. Maintenance 112. Spent 37 on actions (build 7, buy 7, partner 22). 3 carried over.
- PartnerEconomic Output & Productivity7 credits for 0.49 levelsmctsahead of Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance by 1 per cent
- BuildTechnical & Vocational Skills7 credits for 0.82 levelsmcts_fill
- BuyArtificial Intelligence7 credits for 1.01 levelsmcts_fill
- PartnerAlliances & Security Cooperation7 credits for 1.02 levelsmcts_fill
- PartnerExport Capability & Sophistication7 credits for 0.86 levelsmcts_fill
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Artificial Intelligence | +1.01 | +1.01 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Technical & Vocational Skills | +0.69 | +0.69 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Lifelong Learning & Reskilling | +0.58 | +0.58 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Alliances & Security Cooperation | +0.51 | +0.51 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Digital & AI Competence | +0.45 | +0.45 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Export Capability & Sophistication | +0.43 | +0.43 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |