Round 2033
Round 7 of 20 in simulation 50 of Kenya, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.077 to 7.55.
Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2033 (the end of 2032) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 7.55 (+0.077)
- In: 7.47
- Rank by index
- 72
- In: 75
- Domains at Tier 1
- 0
- In: 0
- Credits carried
- 5
- In: 4
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 3.33 | 3.54 | +0.212 | 10 → 9 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 7.89 | 7.89 | +0.007 | 7 |
| National Security | 4.61 | 4.62 | +0.004 | 9 |
| Human Capital | 8.50 | 8.63 | +0.127 | 10 |
| Information & Influence | 8.86 | 8.87 | +0.012 | 7 |
| Governance & Integrity | 8.89 | 8.89 | +0.001 | 14 |
| Financial Strength | 8.67 | 8.72 | +0.046 | 17 |
| Production & Innovation | 7.97 | 8.11 | +0.138 | 14 |
| Trade & Investment | 8.50 | 8.64 | +0.142 | 12 → 11 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2033: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 154, plus 4 carried in. Maintenance 115. Spent 38 on actions (buy 23, partner 15). 5 carried over.
- PartnerFiscal Capacity & Public Finance8 credits for 0.41 levelsmctsahead of Artificial Intelligence by 1 per cent
- BuySemiconductors & Advanced Computing8 credits for 0.83 levelsmcts_fill
- BuyTechnology Adoption & Diffusion8 credits for 0.89 levelsmcts_fill
- BuyArtificial Intelligence8 credits for 0.98 levelsmcts_fill
- PartnerTrade Policy & Market Access8 credits for 0.97 levelsmcts_fill
Tiers. Critical Technology Tier 10 to 9; Trade & Investment Tier 12 to 11.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Semiconductors & Advanced Computing | +1.09 | +1.09 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Artificial Intelligence | +0.98 | +0.98 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Trade Policy & Market Access | +0.98 | +0.98 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Technology Adoption & Diffusion | +0.90 | +0.89 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.01 |
| Technical & Vocational Skills | +0.49 | +0.49 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Lifelong Learning & Reskilling | +0.34 | +0.34 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |