Round 8 · simulation 50 · mcts-m2.m2-ken-mcts-index

Round 2034

Round 8 of 20 in simulation 50 of Kenya, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.070 to 7.62.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2034 (the end of 2033) and as it left it.

Capability index
7.62 (+0.070)
In: 7.55
Rank by index
72
In: 72
Domains at Tier 1
0
In: 0
Credits carried
5
In: 5
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology3.543.72+0.1809
Strategic Infrastructure7.897.90+0.0087
National Security4.624.62+0.0089
Human Capital8.638.72+0.09210 → 9
Information & Influence8.878.97+0.0977
Governance & Integrity8.898.90+0.00114
Financial Strength8.728.76+0.03917
Production & Innovation8.118.12+0.00614
Trade & Investment8.648.83+0.19611

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2034: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 156, plus 5 carried in. Maintenance 118. Spent 39 on actions (buy 15, partner 23). 5 carried over.

  • BuySemiconductors & Advanced Computing8 credits for 0.81 levelsmctsahead of Nuclear Deterrence by 0 per cent
  • PartnerInvestment Attraction & Projection8 credits for 0.83 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuyConnectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies8 credits for 0.95 levelsmcts_fill
  • PartnerExport Capability & Sophistication8 credits for 0.85 levelsmcts_fill
  • PartnerAlliances & Security Cooperation8 credits for 0.99 levelsmcts_fill

Tiers. Human Capital Tier 10 to 9.

The groups that moved most in 2034, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Connectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies+0.95+0.950.000.000.00
Semiconductors & Advanced Computing+0.81+0.810.000.000.00
Alliances & Security Cooperation+0.50+0.500.000.000.00
Technical & Vocational Skills+0.49+0.490.000.000.00
Trade Policy & Market Access+0.49+0.480.000.000.00
Export Capability & Sophistication+0.43+0.430.000.000.00