Round 17 · simulation 50 · mcts-m2.m2-ken-mcts-index

Round 2043

Round 17 of 20 in simulation 50 of Kenya, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.050 to 8.13.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2043 (the end of 2042) and as it left it.

Capability index
8.13 (+0.050)
In: 8.08
Rank by index
67
In: 68
Domains at Tier 1
0
In: 0
Credits carried
1
In: 0
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology5.605.87+0.2766
Strategic Infrastructure8.018.02+0.0107
National Security4.744.76+0.0196
Human Capital8.948.94+0.0048
Information & Influence9.629.63+0.0046
Governance & Integrity8.908.90+0.00114
Financial Strength8.868.87+0.00617
Production & Innovation8.428.55+0.12911 → 10
Trade & Investment9.609.60+0.00411

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2043: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 167. Maintenance 136. Spent 30 on actions (buy 30). 1 carried over.

  • BuyTechnology Adoption & Diffusion8 credits for 0.85 levelsmctsahead of Nuclear Deterrence by 0 per cent
  • BuyRobotics & Autonomous Systems8 credits for 0.90 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuySensing, Timing & Navigation8 credits for 0.89 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuySemiconductors & Advanced Computing3 credits for 0.28 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuyEnergy Technologies2 credits for 0.18 levelsmcts_fill

Tiers. Production & Innovation Tier 11 to 10.

The groups that moved most in 2043, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Sensing, Timing & Navigation+0.95+0.890.000.00+0.06
Robotics & Autonomous Systems+0.91+0.900.000.000.00
Technology Adoption & Diffusion+0.85+0.850.000.00+0.01
Space Technologies+0.35+0.350.000.000.00
Semiconductors & Advanced Computing+0.28+0.280.000.000.00
Energy Technologies+0.18+0.180.000.00+0.01