Round 16 · simulation 50 · mcts-m2.m2-ken-mcts-index

Round 2042

Round 16 of 20 in simulation 50 of Kenya, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.053 to 8.08.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2042 (the end of 2041) and as it left it.

Capability index
8.08 (+0.053)
In: 8.02
Rank by index
68
In: 69
Domains at Tier 1
0
In: 0
Credits carried
0
In: 0
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology5.365.60+0.2427 → 6
Strategic Infrastructure8.008.01+0.0097
National Security4.734.74+0.0136
Human Capital8.948.94+0.0038
Information & Influence9.489.62+0.1456
Governance & Integrity8.908.90+0.00114
Financial Strength8.868.86+0.00517
Production & Innovation8.378.42+0.04711
Trade & Investment9.599.60+0.00911

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2042: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 165. Maintenance 134. Spent 31 on actions (buy 23, partner 8). 0 carried over.

  • BuyDevelopment Cooperation & Global Assistance8 credits for 0.86 levelsmctsahead of Space Technologies by 0 per cent
  • BuyArtificial Intelligence8 credits for 0.86 levelsmcts_fill
  • PartnerSpace Technologies8 credits for 0.69 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuySemiconductors & Advanced Computing3 credits for 0.28 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuyEnergy Technologies3 credits for 0.36 levelsmcts_fill

Tiers. Critical Technology Tier 7 to 6.

The groups that moved most in 2042, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Artificial Intelligence+0.97+0.860.000.00+0.11
Development Cooperation & Global Assistance+0.86+0.860.000.000.00
Space Technologies+0.70+0.700.000.000.00
Energy Technologies+0.36+0.360.000.00+0.01
Semiconductors & Advanced Computing+0.28+0.280.000.000.00
Economic Output & Productivity+0.26+0.260.000.000.00