Round 19 · simulation 50 · mcts-m2.m2-ken-mcts-index

Round 2045

Round 19 of 20 in simulation 50 of Kenya, tree search, 20 years: 4 actions, and the index +0.041 to 8.20.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2045 (the end of 2044) and as it left it.

Capability index
8.20 (+0.041)
In: 8.16
Rank by index
65
In: 66
Domains at Tier 1
0
In: 0
Credits carried
1
In: 1
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology6.096.22+0.1296
Strategic Infrastructure8.038.05+0.0147
National Security4.784.81+0.0266
Human Capital8.959.02+0.0698
Information & Influence9.649.72+0.0846
Governance & Integrity8.908.91+0.00114
Financial Strength8.908.94+0.03717
Production & Innovation8.568.57+0.00910
Trade & Investment9.609.61+0.00411

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2045: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 168, plus 1 carried in. Maintenance 140. Spent 28 on actions (buy 20, partner 8). 1 carried over.

  • BuyResearch Talent & Knowledge Creation8 credits for 0.60 levelsmctsahead of Connectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies by 0 per cent
  • BuyConnectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies8 credits for 0.85 levelsmcts_fill
  • PartnerAlliances & Security Cooperation8 credits for 0.91 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuySemiconductors & Advanced Computing3 credits for 0.27 levelsmcts_fill
The groups that moved most in 2045, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Connectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies+0.86+0.850.000.00+0.01
Research Talent & Knowledge Creation+0.60+0.600.000.000.00
Alliances & Security Cooperation+0.46+0.460.000.000.00
Semiconductors & Advanced Computing+0.27+0.270.000.000.00
Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance+0.21+0.210.000.000.00
Space Operations+0.130.000.000.00+0.13