Round 20 · simulation 50 · mcts-m2.m2-ken-mcts-index

Round 2046

Round 20 of 20 in simulation 50 of Kenya, tree search, 20 years: 4 actions, and the index +0.039 to 8.24.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2046 (the end of 2045) and as it left it.

Capability index
8.24 (+0.040)
In: 8.20
Rank by index
65
In: 65
Domains at Tier 1
0
In: 0
Credits carried
0
In: 1
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology6.226.43+0.2076
Strategic Infrastructure8.058.06+0.0147
National Security4.814.84+0.0356
Human Capital9.029.02+0.0028
Information & Influence9.729.80+0.0836
Governance & Integrity8.918.91+0.00114
Financial Strength8.948.95+0.00317
Production & Innovation8.578.57+0.00410
Trade & Investment9.619.61+0.00311

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2046: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 170, plus 1 carried in. Maintenance 142. Spent 29 on actions (buy 20, partner 8). 0 carried over.

  • PartnerNuclear Deterrence8 credits for 0.28 levelsmctsahead of Robotics & Autonomous Systems by 0 per cent
  • BuyArtificial Intelligence8 credits for 0.81 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuyRobotics & Autonomous Systems8 credits for 0.87 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuySemiconductors & Advanced Computing3 credits for 0.26 levelsmcts_fill
The groups that moved most in 2046, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Robotics & Autonomous Systems+0.88+0.870.000.00+0.01
Artificial Intelligence+0.88+0.810.000.00+0.06
Alliances & Security Cooperation+0.46+0.460.000.00+0.01
Semiconductors & Advanced Computing+0.27+0.260.000.000.00
Space Operations+0.100.000.000.00+0.10
Nuclear Deterrence+0.10+0.090.000.000.00