Round 14 · simulation 29 · mcts-m2.m2-ken-mcts-score-sum

Round 2040

Round 14 of 20 in simulation 29 of Kenya, tree search, 20 years: 4 actions, and the index +0.044 to 7.93.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2040 (the end of 2039) and as it left it.

Capability index
7.93 (+0.044)
In: 7.88
Rank by index
70
In: 70
Domains at Tier 1
0
In: 0
Credits carried
2
In: 2
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology4.775.02+0.2527
Strategic Infrastructure7.987.99+0.0177
National Security4.694.70+0.0129
Human Capital8.848.84+0.0048
Information & Influence9.429.43+0.0076
Governance & Integrity8.908.90+0.00114
Financial Strength8.858.86+0.01817
Production & Innovation8.258.26+0.01112
Trade & Investment9.279.35+0.07711

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2040: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 161, plus 2 carried in. Maintenance 129. Spent 32 on actions (build 8, buy 16, partner 8). 2 carried over.

  • BuildFiscal Capacity & Public Finance8 credits for 0.31 levelsmctsahead of Economic Output & Productivity by 0 per cent
  • BuySemiconductors & Advanced Computing8 credits for 0.72 levelsmcts_fill
  • PartnerSpace Technologies8 credits for 0.71 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuyEnergy Technologies8 credits for 0.91 levelsmcts_fill
The groups that moved most in 2040, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Energy Technologies+0.92+0.910.000.000.00
Semiconductors & Advanced Computing+0.72+0.720.000.000.00
Space Technologies+0.72+0.710.000.000.00
Economic Leverage & Dependence+0.51+0.450.000.00+0.06
Artificial Intelligence+0.120.000.000.00+0.12
Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance+0.10+0.100.000.000.00