Round 2034
Round 8 of 20 in simulation 32 of Kenya, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.044 to 6.75.
Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2034 (the end of 2033) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 6.75 (+0.044)
- In: 6.71
- Rank by index
- 86
- In: 87
- Domains at Tier 1
- 0
- In: 0
- Credits carried
- 4
- In: 3
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 2.89 | 2.98 | +0.088 | 11 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 6.86 | 6.83 | −0.036 | 8 |
| National Security | 3.59 | 3.59 | −0.006 | 10 |
| Human Capital | 8.40 | 8.46 | +0.062 | 11 → 9 |
| Information & Influence | 8.22 | 8.37 | +0.142 | 9 |
| Governance & Integrity | 8.36 | 8.36 | −0.006 | 15 |
| Financial Strength | 7.71 | 7.76 | +0.048 | 20 |
| Production & Innovation | 7.01 | 7.00 | −0.006 | 16 |
| Trade & Investment | 7.32 | 7.43 | +0.114 | 13 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2034: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 129, plus 3 carried in. Maintenance 96. Spent 32 on actions (build 6, buy 6, partner 19). 4 carried over.
- BuildFiscal Capacity & Public Finance6 credits for 0.28 levelsmctsahead of Economic Output & Productivity by 0 per cent
- BuySemiconductors & Advanced Computing6 credits for 0.69 levelsmcts_fill
- PartnerAlliances & Security Cooperation6 credits for 0.87 levelsmcts_fill
- PartnerExport Capability & Sophistication6 credits for 0.74 levelsmcts_fill
- PartnerTrade Policy & Market Access6 credits for 0.83 levelsmcts_fill
Tiers. Human Capital Tier 11 to 9.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Semiconductors & Advanced Computing | +0.91 | +0.91 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Alliances & Security Cooperation | +0.85 | +0.88 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.02 |
| Technical & Vocational Skills | +0.46 | +0.46 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Trade Policy & Market Access | +0.41 | +0.41 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.01 |
| Export Capability & Sophistication | +0.36 | +0.37 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.01 |
| Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance | +0.28 | +0.28 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.01 |