Round 2035
Round 9 of 20 in simulation 32 of Kenya, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.053 to 6.80.
Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2035 (the end of 2034) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 6.80 (+0.053)
- In: 6.75
- Rank by index
- 84
- In: 86
- Domains at Tier 1
- 0
- In: 0
- Credits carried
- 5
- In: 4
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 2.98 | 3.15 | +0.167 | 11 → 10 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 6.83 | 6.80 | −0.032 | 8 |
| National Security | 3.59 | 3.57 | −0.020 | 10 |
| Human Capital | 8.46 | 8.48 | +0.020 | 9 |
| Information & Influence | 8.37 | 8.44 | +0.069 | 9 |
| Governance & Integrity | 8.36 | 8.35 | −0.006 | 15 |
| Financial Strength | 7.76 | 7.78 | +0.018 | 20 |
| Production & Innovation | 7.00 | 7.11 | +0.109 | 16 → 15 |
| Trade & Investment | 7.43 | 7.58 | +0.154 | 13 → 12 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2035: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 131, plus 4 carried in. Maintenance 97. Spent 32 on actions (build 6, buy 19, partner 6). 5 carried over.
- BuildSpace Technologies6 credits for 0.31 levelsmctsahead of Semiconductors & Advanced Computing by 0 per cent
- BuySemiconductors & Advanced Computing6 credits for 0.69 levelsmcts_fill
- PartnerEconomic Leverage & Dependence6 credits for 0.81 levelsmcts_fill
- BuyTechnology Adoption & Diffusion6 credits for 0.77 levelsmcts_fill
- BuyConnectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies6 credits for 0.83 levelsmcts_fill
Tiers. Critical Technology Tier 11 to 10; Production & Innovation Tier 16 to 15; Trade & Investment Tier 13 to 12.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies | +0.83 | +0.83 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Technology Adoption & Diffusion | +0.78 | +0.77 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.01 |
| Semiconductors & Advanced Computing | +0.69 | +0.69 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Alliances & Security Cooperation | +0.41 | +0.43 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.02 |
| Trade Policy & Market Access | +0.41 | +0.41 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.01 |
| Economic Leverage & Dependence | +0.41 | +0.41 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |