Round 2040
Round 14 of 20 in simulation 32 of Kenya, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.060 to 7.10.
Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2040 (the end of 2039) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 7.10 (+0.060)
- In: 7.04
- Rank by index
- 80
- In: 80
- Domains at Tier 1
- 0
- In: 0
- Credits carried
- 14
- In: 11
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 3.77 | 4.03 | +0.260 | 8 → 7 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 6.84 | 6.84 | +0.008 | 8 |
| National Security | 3.60 | 3.61 | +0.011 | 9 |
| Human Capital | 8.46 | 8.46 | −0.002 | 9 |
| Information & Influence | 8.78 | 8.93 | +0.152 | 7 |
| Governance & Integrity | 8.33 | 8.33 | −0.004 | 16 |
| Financial Strength | 7.85 | 7.89 | +0.038 | 20 |
| Production & Innovation | 7.49 | 7.50 | +0.011 | 14 |
| Trade & Investment | 8.23 | 8.30 | +0.067 | 11 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2040: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 144, plus 11 carried in. Maintenance 106. Spent 35 on actions (buy 21, partner 14). 14 carried over.
- BuySemiconductors & Advanced Computing7 credits for 0.67 levelsmctsahead of Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance by 0 per cent
- BuyAdvanced Materials & Manufacturing7 credits for 0.83 levelsmcts_fill
- BuySensing, Timing & Navigation7 credits for 0.87 levelsmcts_fill
- PartnerAlliances & Security Cooperation7 credits for 0.87 levelsmcts_fill
- PartnerExport Capability & Sophistication7 credits for 0.77 levelsmcts_fill
Tiers. Critical Technology Tier 8 to 7.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alliances & Security Cooperation | +0.88 | +0.88 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Sensing, Timing & Navigation | +0.87 | +0.87 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Advanced Materials & Manufacturing | +0.83 | +0.83 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Semiconductors & Advanced Computing | +0.67 | +0.67 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Export Capability & Sophistication | +0.38 | +0.38 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance | +0.22 | +0.20 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.02 |