Round 2039
Round 13 of 20 in simulation 32 of Kenya, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.074 to 7.04.
Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2039 (the end of 2038) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 7.04 (+0.074)
- In: 6.96
- Rank by index
- 80
- In: 81
- Domains at Tier 1
- 0
- In: 0
- Credits carried
- 11
- In: 9
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 3.66 | 3.77 | +0.109 | 8 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 6.83 | 6.84 | +0.009 | 8 |
| National Security | 3.59 | 3.60 | +0.007 | 10 → 9 |
| Human Capital | 8.47 | 8.46 | −0.003 | 9 |
| Information & Influence | 8.57 | 8.78 | +0.211 | 7 |
| Governance & Integrity | 8.34 | 8.33 | −0.005 | 16 |
| Financial Strength | 7.81 | 7.85 | +0.041 | 20 |
| Production & Innovation | 7.33 | 7.49 | +0.164 | 15 → 14 |
| Trade & Investment | 8.10 | 8.23 | +0.129 | 11 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2039: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 141, plus 9 carried in. Maintenance 104. Spent 35 on actions (buy 21, partner 14). 11 carried over.
- PartnerFiscal Capacity & Public Finance7 credits for 0.40 levelsmctsahead of Sensing, Timing & Navigation by 0 per cent
- BuyAdvanced Materials & Manufacturing7 credits for 0.84 levelsmcts_fill
- PartnerAlliances & Security Cooperation7 credits for 0.88 levelsmcts_fill
- BuyTechnology Adoption & Diffusion7 credits for 0.79 levelsmcts_fill
- BuyDevelopment Cooperation & Global Assistance7 credits for 0.78 levelsmcts_fill
Tiers. National Security Tier 10 to 9; Production & Innovation Tier 15 to 14.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Advanced Materials & Manufacturing | +0.84 | +0.84 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Technology Adoption & Diffusion | +0.83 | +0.79 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.04 |
| Development Cooperation & Global Assistance | +0.81 | +0.78 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.02 |
| Economic Leverage & Dependence | +0.46 | +0.41 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 |
| Alliances & Security Cooperation | +0.44 | +0.44 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Trade Policy & Market Access | +0.43 | +0.42 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.01 |