Round 18 · simulation 32 · mcts-m2.m2-ken-mcts-score-sum

Round 2044

Round 18 of 20 in simulation 32 of Kenya, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.054 to 7.30.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2044 (the end of 2043) and as it left it.

Capability index
7.30 (+0.054)
In: 7.25
Rank by index
77
In: 78
Domains at Tier 1
0
In: 0
Credits carried
14
In: 13
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology4.875.13+0.2587
Strategic Infrastructure6.886.90+0.0158
National Security3.643.65+0.0149
Human Capital8.478.47+0.0029
Information & Influence9.039.03+0.0047
Governance & Integrity8.338.33+0.00116
Financial Strength7.917.92+0.00920
Production & Innovation7.667.72+0.05814 → 13
Trade & Investment8.438.56+0.13011

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2044: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 151, plus 13 carried in. Maintenance 114. Spent 37 on actions (build 7, buy 15, partner 15). 14 carried over.

  • BuildAdvanced Materials & Manufacturing7 credits for 0.42 levelsmcts
  • PartnerSpace Technologies7 credits for 0.65 levelsmcts_fill
  • PartnerTrade Facilitation & Logistics7 credits for 0.81 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuyArtificial Intelligence7 credits for 0.78 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuyRobotics & Autonomous Systems7 credits for 0.83 levelsmcts_fill

Tiers. Production & Innovation Tier 14 to 13.

The groups that moved most in 2044, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Artificial Intelligence+0.93+0.780.000.00+0.15
Robotics & Autonomous Systems+0.84+0.830.000.00+0.01
Space Technologies+0.65+0.650.000.000.00
Trade Policy & Market Access+0.43+0.430.000.000.00
Trade Facilitation & Logistics+0.41+0.410.000.000.00
Economic Output & Productivity+0.38+0.380.000.000.00