Round 20 · simulation 32 · mcts-m2.m2-ken-mcts-score-sum

Round 2046

Round 20 of 20 in simulation 32 of Kenya, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.073 to 7.43.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2046 (the end of 2045) and as it left it.

Capability index
7.43 (+0.073)
In: 7.36
Rank by index
75
In: 76
Domains at Tier 1
0
In: 0
Credits carried
9
In: 12
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology5.485.77+0.2887 → 6
Strategic Infrastructure6.916.92+0.0128
National Security3.673.69+0.0229
Human Capital8.478.47+0.0029
Information & Influence9.049.18+0.1427
Governance & Integrity8.338.33+0.00116
Financial Strength7.937.93+0.00120
Production & Innovation7.727.84+0.11913 → 11
Trade & Investment8.708.77+0.07211

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2046: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 154, plus 12 carried in. Maintenance 118. Spent 38 on actions (buy 38). 9 carried over.

  • BuyEnergy Technologies8 credits for 0.83 levelsmcts
  • BuySemiconductors & Advanced Computing8 credits for 0.64 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuyTechnology Adoption & Diffusion8 credits for 0.82 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuyDevelopment Cooperation & Global Assistance8 credits for 0.82 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuyRobotics & Autonomous Systems8 credits for 0.83 levelsmcts_fill

Tiers. Critical Technology Tier 7 to 6; Production & Innovation Tier 13 to 11.

The groups that moved most in 2046, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Robotics & Autonomous Systems+0.85+0.830.000.00+0.02
Energy Technologies+0.83+0.830.000.000.00
Development Cooperation & Global Assistance+0.83+0.820.000.00+0.02
Technology Adoption & Diffusion+0.82+0.820.000.000.00
Semiconductors & Advanced Computing+0.64+0.640.000.000.00
Economic Leverage & Dependence+0.45+0.430.000.00+0.02