Round 2036
Round 10 of 20 in simulation 40 of Kenya, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.047 to 6.25.
Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2036 (the end of 2035) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 6.25 (+0.047)
- In: 6.21
- Rank by index
- 93
- In: 94
- Domains at Tier 1
- 0
- In: 0
- Credits carried
- 15
- In: 19
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 3.14 | 3.16 | +0.017 | 10 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 5.85 | 5.86 | +0.010 | 9 |
| National Security | 3.12 | 3.13 | +0.006 | 10 |
| Human Capital | 7.66 | 7.67 | +0.012 | 11 |
| Information & Influence | 8.19 | 8.27 | +0.073 | 8 |
| Governance & Integrity | 7.86 | 7.85 | −0.007 | 16 |
| Financial Strength | 6.78 | 6.76 | −0.018 | 22 |
| Production & Innovation | 6.42 | 6.54 | +0.116 | 16 → 15 |
| Trade & Investment | 6.83 | 7.04 | +0.216 | 13 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2036: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 117, plus 19 carried in. Maintenance 87. Spent 34 on actions (build 7, buy 7, partner 20). 15 carried over.
- BuildFiscal Capacity & Public Finance7 credits for 0.32 levelsmctsahead of Nuclear Deterrence by 0 per cent
- PartnerTrade Policy & Market Access7 credits for 0.90 levelsmcts_fill
- PartnerInvestment Attraction & Projection7 credits for 0.78 levelsmcts_fill
- BuyTechnology Adoption & Diffusion7 credits for 0.82 levelsmcts_fill
- PartnerEconomic Leverage & Dependence7 credits for 0.86 levelsmcts_fill
Tiers. Production & Innovation Tier 16 to 15.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Technology Adoption & Diffusion | +0.83 | +0.82 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.02 |
| Alliances & Security Cooperation | +0.45 | +0.45 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Economic Leverage & Dependence | +0.45 | +0.43 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.01 |
| Trade Policy & Market Access | +0.44 | +0.45 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.01 |
| Investment Attraction & Projection | +0.36 | +0.39 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.03 |
| Export Capability & Sophistication | +0.34 | +0.38 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.03 |