Round 2035
Round 9 of 20 in simulation 40 of Kenya, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, Core disaster, and the index −0.534 to 6.21.
Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2035 (the end of 2034) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 6.21 (−0.534)
- In: 6.74
- Rank by index
- 94
- In: 86
- Domains at Tier 1
- 0
- In: 0
- Credits carried
- 20
- In: 15
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 3.10 | 3.14 | +0.044 | 10 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 6.75 | 5.85 | −0.901 | 8 → 9 |
| National Security | 3.47 | 3.12 | −0.348 | 10 |
| Human Capital | 8.09 | 7.66 | −0.429 | 11 |
| Information & Influence | 8.35 | 8.19 | −0.155 | 8 |
| Governance & Integrity | 8.32 | 7.86 | −0.469 | 16 |
| Financial Strength | 7.72 | 6.78 | −0.942 | 20 → 22 |
| Production & Innovation | 7.21 | 6.42 | −0.790 | 15 → 16 |
| Trade & Investment | 7.65 | 6.83 | −0.820 | 13 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2035: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 136, plus 15 carried in. Maintenance 97. Spent 33 on actions (buy 20, partner 13). 20 carried over.
- BuyResearch Talent & Knowledge Creation7 credits for 0.53 levelsmctsahead of Research Talent & Knowledge Creation by 0 per cent
- BuySemiconductors & Advanced Computing7 credits for 0.71 levelsmcts_fill
- PartnerAlliances & Security Cooperation7 credits for 0.90 levelsmcts_fill
- BuyDevelopment Cooperation & Global Assistance7 credits for 0.76 levelsmcts_fill
- PartnerExport Capability & Sophistication7 credits for 0.75 levelsmcts_fill
- Shock: Core disaster S07. −41.6 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.
Tiers. Strategic Infrastructure Tier 8 to 9; Financial Strength Tier 20 to 22; Production & Innovation Tier 15 to 16.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trade Facilitation & Logistics | −1.62 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −1.61 | −0.01 |
| Financial System Depth & Access | −1.42 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −1.42 | 0.00 |
| Industrial & Sectoral Base | −1.38 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −1.37 | −0.01 |
| Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance | −1.35 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −1.43 | +0.08 |
| Energy Infrastructure | −1.31 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −1.31 | +0.01 |
| Water, Sanitation & Waste Infrastructure | −1.30 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −1.32 | +0.02 |