Round 2038
Round 12 of 20 in simulation 40 of Kenya, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.040 to 6.33.
Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2038 (the end of 2037) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 6.33 (+0.040)
- In: 6.29
- Rank by index
- 93
- In: 93
- Domains at Tier 1
- 0
- In: 0
- Credits carried
- 15
- In: 14
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 3.23 | 3.30 | +0.062 | 9 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 5.84 | 5.81 | −0.028 | 9 |
| National Security | 3.13 | 3.12 | −0.005 | 10 |
| Human Capital | 7.66 | 7.65 | −0.012 | 11 |
| Information & Influence | 8.26 | 8.33 | +0.066 | 8 → 7 |
| Governance & Integrity | 7.84 | 7.83 | −0.005 | 16 |
| Financial Strength | 6.79 | 6.87 | +0.075 | 22 |
| Production & Innovation | 6.50 | 6.51 | +0.009 | 15 |
| Trade & Investment | 7.36 | 7.55 | +0.194 | 12 → 11 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2038: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 120, plus 14 carried in. Maintenance 89. Spent 29 on actions (build 6, buy 6, partner 18). 15 carried over.
- BuildEconomic Output & Productivity6 credits for 0.36 levelsmctsahead of Space Technologies by 0 per cent
- PartnerFiscal Capacity & Public Finance6 credits for 0.37 levelsmcts_fill
- BuySemiconductors & Advanced Computing6 credits for 0.60 levelsmcts_fill
- PartnerTrade Facilitation & Logistics6 credits for 0.70 levelsmcts_fill
- PartnerAlliances & Security Cooperation6 credits for 0.77 levelsmcts_fill
Tiers. Information & Influence Tier 8 to 7; Trade & Investment Tier 12 to 11.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trade Facilitation & Logistics | +0.65 | +0.70 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.05 |
| Semiconductors & Advanced Computing | +0.59 | +0.60 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance | +0.46 | +0.48 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.02 |
| Trade Policy & Market Access | +0.39 | +0.38 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.01 |
| Alliances & Security Cooperation | +0.38 | +0.38 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.01 |
| Investment Attraction & Projection | +0.32 | +0.33 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.01 |