Round 13 · simulation 40 · mcts-m2.m2-ken-mcts-score-sum

Round 2039

Round 13 of 20 in simulation 40 of Kenya, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.042 to 6.37.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2039 (the end of 2038) and as it left it.

Capability index
6.37 (+0.041)
In: 6.33
Rank by index
91
In: 93
Domains at Tier 1
0
In: 0
Credits carried
19
In: 15
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology3.303.46+0.1669 → 8
Strategic Infrastructure5.815.79−0.0259
National Security3.123.12−0.00410
Human Capital7.657.63−0.01711
Information & Influence8.338.39+0.0647
Governance & Integrity7.837.83−0.00516
Financial Strength6.876.93+0.06422
Production & Innovation6.516.59+0.08115
Trade & Investment7.557.61+0.05311

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2039: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 125, plus 15 carried in. Maintenance 90. Spent 30 on actions (buy 18, partner 12). 19 carried over.

  • PartnerArtificial Intelligence6 credits for 0.49 levelsmctsahead of Strategic Strike & Missile Defence by 0 per cent
  • PartnerFiscal Capacity & Public Finance6 credits for 0.37 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuyConnectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies6 credits for 0.74 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuySemiconductors & Advanced Computing6 credits for 0.59 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuyEconomic Output & Productivity6 credits for 0.47 levelsmcts_fill

Tiers. Critical Technology Tier 9 to 8.

The groups that moved most in 2039, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Connectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies+0.74+0.740.000.000.00
Economic Output & Productivity+0.59+0.590.000.000.00
Semiconductors & Advanced Computing+0.59+0.590.000.000.00
Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance+0.38+0.370.000.00+0.01
Alliances & Security Cooperation+0.38+0.380.000.00−0.01
Artificial Intelligence+0.35+0.240.000.00+0.11